Originally Published: October 22, 2012 10 p.m.
The worries are coming home to roost come Election Day and beyond.
Arizona Republicans added to their legislative majorities in 2010, but now the question seems to be how many seats will they lose on Nov. 6, the Associated Press has reported.
The problem is simple: While Republicans outnumber Democrats statewide and in most legislative districts, this is the first election that will use the map of new districts drawn after the 2010 Census. That would be the map that GOP leaders have sued to overturn. (Side note - this past week the AP reported that a judge in Maricopa County dismissed a Republican lawsuit over the maps and the Independent Redistricting Commission; however, at least one lawsuit by the GOP remains in federal court.)
To review, redistricting left many Republicans unhappy. They have been lodging complaints that the state redistricting commission favored Democrats and stressed creation of competitive districts at the expense of other redistricting goals.
The redistricting changes, the growing percentage of registered independents and the higher turnout in a presidential election are creating expectations that more districts are in play and that the Republicans' 2010 gains were a high tide that will recede in November, the AP said.
That remains to be seen. By all accounts, based on the primary in August, Republicans statewide have done well.
Another vote will take place, however, that could shift legislative priorities and the rural voice in the state Senate. Arizona Senate Majority Leader Andy Biggs, R-Gilbert, says he will challenge Senate President Steve Pierce, R-Precott, for the chamber's top leadership post, the AP and Arizona Capitol Times report.
House and Senate caucuses generally hold their closed-door reorganization meetings within a few days after the election.
That is right, it is an election in which we have no say.
The good news is Pierce defeated Biggs for the Senate presidency late last year after then-President Russell Pearce was ousted from the Legislature when he lost a recall election.
Here is hoping our senator carries the day.