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Sat, May 25

Editorial: Caucus results don't tell the whole story

Yogi Berra said, "It ain't over 'til it's over" about baseball, but his aphorism is equally apropos to the presidential campaign and especially the Iowa caucuses.

To be sure, the results were real eye-openers, but they carry the same level of significance as a single snapshot in a 150-page photo album.

Mike Huckabee emerged the winner with 34 percent of the votes, with Mitt Romney coming in second at

25 percent and Fred Thompson and John McCain struggling for third place.

Huckabee rode on a tide of support from evangelical Christians that enabled him to overcome Romney's huge budget. In New Hampshire this Tuesday, he won't have the push from evangelicals and he won't have Romney's media budget. Conventional wisdom indicates he won't be able to stay in the fight.

The far more remarkable results were on the Democratic side. Barack Obama and John Edwards both came in ahead of seemingly preordained and unstoppable Hillary Clinton. Obama polled 38 percent of the vote; Edwards, 30 percent; and Clinton, 29 percent. He came out of it with 13 Democratic delegates, compared to

11 each for Edwards and Clinton.

Obama profited most from a strong turnout among youth. He and Clinton both have a fair amount of money going into New Hampshire. The youth surge could continue to work for Obama. Clinton will do whatever it takes to get back to the top. It will be interesting to see just how many of her built-in negatives Clinton will be willing to risk exposing in her quest for the nomination.

This will get much more interesting.


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